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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Women Macedonia · Prva Liga Women - Final
Basket Kam WHOME · -
65 : 592024.05.15 · 종료
Vardar WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.7%
VALUE EDGE+74.7%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
Basket Kam WAnalysis MetricsVardar W
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+16.83 Point MarginHigher is better +9.00
129.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 122.83
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 11.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Basket Kam W
W · 80-53L · 77-71W · 83-67W · 56-96W · 101-52
Vardar W
W · 61-63W · 72-67W · 54-75W · 84-54W · 64-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.10Vardar W57 : 74Basket Kam W
2024.11.02Basket Kam W79 : 57Vardar W
2024.05.23Vardar W74 : 77Basket Kam W
2024.05.18Basket Kam W64 : 58Vardar W
2024.05.15Basket Kam W65 : 59Vardar W
2024.03.07Basket Kam W68 : 63Vardar W
2024.02.01Basket Kam W77 : 58Vardar W
2023.11.04Vardar W64 : 62Basket Kam W
2023.03.19Vardar W65 : 73Basket Kam W
2022.12.11Basket Kam W65 : 62Vardar W