Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga Women
Macedonia · Prva Liga Women - Semi-finals

Kumanovo-Grizli WHOME · -
61 : 632024.05.05 · 종료
Vardar WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.9%
VALUE EDGE+62.9%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
Kumanovo-Grizli WAnalysis MetricsVardar W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+8.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.00
113.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
122.83
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation11.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kumanovo-Grizli W
L · 72-67W · 56-78W · 72-56W · 60-46L · 63-61
Vardar W
W · 72-67W · 54-75W · 84-54W · 64-82W · 63-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.10.21 | Kumanovo-Grizli W | 0 : 20 | Vardar W |
| 2024.05.05 | Kumanovo-Grizli W | 61 : 63 | Vardar W |
| 2024.05.02 | Vardar W | 72 : 67 | Kumanovo-Grizli W |
| 2024.03.31 | Vardar W | 63 : 61 | Kumanovo-Grizli W |
| 2023.10.14 | Kumanovo-Grizli W | 50 : 66 | Vardar W |