Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga Women
Macedonia · Prva Liga Women - Semi-finals
Vardar WHOME · -
72 : 672024.05.02 · 종료
Kumanovo-Grizli WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.6%
VALUE EDGE+68.6%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Vardar WAnalysis MetricsKumanovo-Grizli W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+9.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.08
122.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
112.42
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
10.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar W
W · 54-75W · 84-54W · 64-82W · 63-61W · 62-80
Kumanovo-Grizli W
W · 56-78W · 72-56W · 60-46L · 63-61W · 76-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.10.21 | Kumanovo-Grizli W | 0 : 20 | Vardar W |
| 2024.05.05 | Kumanovo-Grizli W | 61 : 63 | Vardar W |
| 2024.05.02 | Vardar W | 72 : 67 | Kumanovo-Grizli W |
| 2024.03.31 | Vardar W | 63 : 61 | Kumanovo-Grizli W |
| 2023.10.14 | Kumanovo-Grizli W | 50 : 66 | Vardar W |