Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga Women
Macedonia · Prva Liga Women - Quarter-finals
Probasket WHOME · -
54 : 752024.04.21 · 종료
Vardar WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.8%
VALUE EDGE+79.8%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Probasket WAnalysis MetricsVardar W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-4.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.00
136.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
122.83
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Probasket W
L · 84-54W · 65-87W · 76-42L · 64-82L · 84-44
Vardar W
W · 84-54W · 64-82W · 63-61W · 62-80W · 59-58
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.07 | Vardar W | 88 : 73 | Probasket W |
| 2025.02.01 | Vardar W | 86 : 51 | Probasket W |
| 2024.10.11 | Probasket W | 50 : 75 | Vardar W |
| 2024.04.21 | Probasket W | 54 : 75 | Vardar W |
| 2024.04.19 | Vardar W | 84 : 54 | Probasket W |
| 2024.04.09 | Probasket W | 64 : 82 | Vardar W |
| 2024.01.21 | Vardar W | 91 : 58 | Probasket W |
| 2023.10.29 | Probasket W | 62 : 82 | Vardar W |
| 2023.03.04 | Vardar W | 93 : 51 | Probasket W |
| 2022.11.12 | Probasket W | 42 : 81 | Vardar W |