Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Women Macedonia · 20

Vardar WHOME · -

63 : 612024.03.31 · 종료

Kumanovo-Grizli WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY43.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +56.7%

VALUE EDGE+56.7%

FAIR ODDS1.76

GRADEA

Vardar WAnalysis MetricsKumanovo-Grizli W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+9.00 Point MarginHigher is better +8.83

122.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 113.67

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation5.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

56.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

43.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Vardar W

W · 62-80W · 59-58W · 73-50L · 68-63L · 80-84

Kumanovo-Grizli W

W · 76-61W · 72-83W · 79-61W · 54-84W · 48-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.10.21	Kumanovo-Grizli W	0 : 20	Vardar W
2024.05.05	Kumanovo-Grizli W	61 : 63	Vardar W
2024.05.02	Vardar W	72 : 67	Kumanovo-Grizli W
2024.03.31	Vardar W	63 : 61	Kumanovo-Grizli W
2023.10.14	Kumanovo-Grizli W	50 : 66	Vardar W