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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Women Macedonia · 17
Vardar WHOME · -
73 : 502024.03.09 · 종료
Struga WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 89.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Vardar WAnalysis MetricsStruga W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+9.00 Point MarginHigher is better +7.00
122.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 113.83
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
88.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar W
L · 68-63L · 80-84W · 84-82L · 72-66L · 77-58
Struga W
L · 54-84L · 95-39L · 54-64L · 103-56L · 38-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.09Vardar W73 : 50Struga W
2023.12.18Struga W43 : 81Vardar W
2023.10.20Vardar W91 : 55Struga W
2022.12.18Struga W63 : 76Vardar W
2022.10.16Vardar W77 : 44Struga W