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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Women Macedonia · 13
MZT Bela Voda WHOME · -
72 : 662024.02.09 · 종료
Vardar WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +58.6%
VALUE EDGE+58.6%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADES
MZT Bela Voda WAnalysis MetricsVardar W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-11.00 Point MarginHigher is better +9.00
110.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 122.83
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
12.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MZT Bela Voda W
L · 77-73W · 52-40W · 54-59W · 71-38L · 67-53
Vardar W
L · 77-58W · 91-58W · 43-81W · 41-67W · 61-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.02MZT Bela Voda W50 : 76Vardar W
2025.05.01MZT Bela Voda W20 : 0Vardar W
2025.04.28Vardar W0 : 20MZT Bela Voda W
2025.03.16MZT Bela Voda W60 : 94Vardar W
2024.11.17Vardar W69 : 51MZT Bela Voda W
2024.03.17Vardar W59 : 58MZT Bela Voda W
2024.02.09MZT Bela Voda W72 : 66Vardar W
2023.11.19Vardar W60 : 67MZT Bela Voda W
2023.04.14Vardar W63 : 82MZT Bela Voda W
2023.04.10MZT Bela Voda W53 : 71Vardar W