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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Women Macedonia · 12
Probasket WHOME · -
77 : 732024.01.27 · 종료
MZT Bela Voda WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME25.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +74.8%
VALUE EDGE+74.8%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
Probasket WAnalysis MetricsMZT Bela Voda W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-4.58 Point MarginHigher is better -11.00
136.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 110.17
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
25.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
74.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Probasket W
L · 91-58L · 81-66W · 89-38L · 68-67W · 44-87
MZT Bela Voda W
W · 52-40W · 54-59W · 71-38L · 67-53L · 51-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.10Probasket W72 : 67MZT Bela Voda W
2024.11.01MZT Bela Voda W90 : 48Probasket W
2024.02.17MZT Bela Voda W64 : 54Probasket W
2024.01.27Probasket W77 : 73MZT Bela Voda W
2023.11.05MZT Bela Voda W75 : 55Probasket W
2023.02.25Probasket W45 : 74MZT Bela Voda W
2022.11.05MZT Bela Voda W80 : 60Probasket W