Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga Women
Macedonia · 11
Vardar WHOME · -
91 : 582024.01.21 · 종료
Probasket WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.4%
VALUE EDGE+81.4%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
Vardar WAnalysis MetricsProbasket W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+9.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.58
122.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
136.25
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar W
W · 43-81W · 41-67W · 61-66L · 60-67W · 64-62
Probasket W
L · 81-66W · 89-38L · 68-67W · 44-87W · 70-54
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.07 | Vardar W | 88 : 73 | Probasket W |
| 2025.02.01 | Vardar W | 86 : 51 | Probasket W |
| 2024.10.11 | Probasket W | 50 : 75 | Vardar W |
| 2024.04.21 | Probasket W | 54 : 75 | Vardar W |
| 2024.04.19 | Vardar W | 84 : 54 | Probasket W |
| 2024.04.09 | Probasket W | 64 : 82 | Vardar W |
| 2024.01.21 | Vardar W | 91 : 58 | Probasket W |
| 2023.10.29 | Probasket W | 62 : 82 | Vardar W |
| 2023.03.04 | Vardar W | 93 : 51 | Probasket W |
| 2022.11.12 | Probasket W | 42 : 81 | Vardar W |