Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Women Macedonia · 3

Vardar WHOME · -

91 : 552023.10.20 · 종료

Struga WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY24.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +75.7%

VALUE EDGE+75.7%

FAIR ODDS1.32

GRADEA

Vardar WAnalysis MetricsStruga W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+9.00 Point MarginHigher is better +7.00

122.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 113.83

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

75.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

24.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Vardar W

W · 50-66W · 87-62L · 63-82W · 53-71L · 68-73

Struga W

L · 53-73L · 55-92L · 56-53W · 79-61W · 62-52

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.09	Vardar W	73 : 50	Struga W
2023.12.18	Struga W	43 : 81	Vardar W
2023.10.20	Vardar W	91 : 55	Struga W
2022.12.18	Struga W	63 : 76	Vardar W
2022.10.16	Vardar W	77 : 44	Struga W