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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Women Macedonia · 2
Kumanovo-Grizli WHOME · -
50 : 662023.10.14 · 종료
Vardar WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME30.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 68.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +69.9%
VALUE EDGE+69.9%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEA
Kumanovo-Grizli WAnalysis MetricsVardar W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+6.42 Point MarginHigher is better +9.00
113.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 122.83
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
30.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
69.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kumanovo-Grizli W
W · 51-59
Vardar W
W · 87-62L · 63-82W · 53-71L · 68-73L · 65-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.10.21Kumanovo-Grizli W0 : 20Vardar W
2024.05.05Kumanovo-Grizli W61 : 63Vardar W
2024.05.02Vardar W72 : 67Kumanovo-Grizli W
2024.03.31Vardar W63 : 61Kumanovo-Grizli W
2023.10.14Kumanovo-Grizli W50 : 66Vardar W