Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga Women
Macedonia · Prva Liga Women - Quarter-finals
MZT Bela Voda WHOME · -
53 : 712023.04.10 · 종료
Vardar WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.4%
VALUE EDGE+56.4%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
MZT Bela Voda WAnalysis MetricsVardar W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-11.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.00
110.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
122.83
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation5.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MZT Bela Voda W
W · 68-73W · 75-61L · 69-63L · 63-65W · 45-74
Vardar W
L · 68-73L · 65-73L · 76-68W · 93-51W · 43-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.02 | MZT Bela Voda W | 50 : 76 | Vardar W |
| 2025.05.01 | MZT Bela Voda W | 20 : 0 | Vardar W |
| 2025.04.28 | Vardar W | 0 : 20 | MZT Bela Voda W |
| 2025.03.16 | MZT Bela Voda W | 60 : 94 | Vardar W |
| 2024.11.17 | Vardar W | 69 : 51 | MZT Bela Voda W |
| 2024.03.17 | Vardar W | 59 : 58 | MZT Bela Voda W |
| 2024.02.09 | MZT Bela Voda W | 72 : 66 | Vardar W |
| 2023.11.19 | Vardar W | 60 : 67 | MZT Bela Voda W |
| 2023.04.14 | Vardar W | 63 : 82 | MZT Bela Voda W |
| 2023.04.10 | MZT Bela Voda W | 53 : 71 | Vardar W |