Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga Women
Macedonia · 14
Vardar WHOME · -
65 : 732023.03.19 · 종료
Basket Kam WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.6%
VALUE EDGE+53.6%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Vardar WAnalysis MetricsBasket Kam W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+9.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+16.83
122.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
129.50
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.9 / 15
Prediction separation3.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar W
L · 76-68W · 93-51W · 43-78L · 75-71L · 64-68
Basket Kam W
W · 69-63W · 54-60L · 53-55L · 65-66W · 51-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.10 | Vardar W | 57 : 74 | Basket Kam W |
| 2024.11.02 | Basket Kam W | 79 : 57 | Vardar W |
| 2024.05.23 | Vardar W | 74 : 77 | Basket Kam W |
| 2024.05.18 | Basket Kam W | 64 : 58 | Vardar W |
| 2024.05.15 | Basket Kam W | 65 : 59 | Vardar W |
| 2024.03.07 | Basket Kam W | 68 : 63 | Vardar W |
| 2024.02.01 | Basket Kam W | 77 : 58 | Vardar W |
| 2023.11.04 | Vardar W | 64 : 62 | Basket Kam W |
| 2023.03.19 | Vardar W | 65 : 73 | Basket Kam W |
| 2022.12.11 | Basket Kam W | 65 : 62 | Vardar W |