Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga Women
Macedonia · 4
Vardar WHOME · -
77 : 612022.11.05 · 종료
Grizli WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.5%
VALUE EDGE+79.5%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
Vardar WAnalysis MetricsGrizli W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+9.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.58
122.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
123.92
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar W
W · 81-41W · 71-79W · 77-44
Grizli W
L · 51-85L · 71-57L · 63-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.25 | Grizli W | 43 : 78 | Vardar W |
| 2022.11.05 | Vardar W | 77 : 61 | Grizli W |