Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · Prva Liga - Final
MZT SkopjeHOME · -
80 : 752024.05.22 · 종료
PelisterAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.1%
VALUE EDGE+63.1%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
MZT SkopjeAnalysis MetricsPelister
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-1.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.08
154.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
138.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation11.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MZT Skopje
W · 82-77W · 58-72W · 91-67W · 79-77W · 70-96
Pelister
L · 82-77W · 88-80W · 85-79L · 75-69W · 63-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | MZT Skopje | 74 : 60 | Pelister |
| 2025.02.15 | Pelister | 88 : 103 | MZT Skopje |
| 2024.05.26 | Pelister | 67 : 78 | MZT Skopje |
| 2024.05.22 | MZT Skopje | 80 : 75 | Pelister |
| 2024.05.19 | MZT Skopje | 82 : 77 | Pelister |
| 2024.01.21 | MZT Skopje | 66 : 72 | Pelister |
| 2023.10.19 | Pelister | 81 : 71 | MZT Skopje |
| 2023.06.05 | Pelister | 83 : 92 | MZT Skopje |
| 2023.06.01 | MZT Skopje | 75 : 67 | Pelister |
| 2023.05.29 | MZT Skopje | 84 : 64 | Pelister |