Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · Prva Liga - Semi-finals
PelisterHOME · -
85 : 792024.05.11 · 종료
RabotnickiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
PelisterAnalysis MetricsRabotnicki
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-5.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.75
151.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.75
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pelister
L · 75-69W · 63-86W · 69-79W · 90-85W · 94-60
Rabotnicki
W · 75-69L · 63-86W · 91-106W · 100-94W · 84-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.19 | Pelister | 87 : 91 | Rabotnicki |
| 2024.05.16 | Pelister | 88 : 80 | Rabotnicki |
| 2024.05.11 | Pelister | 85 : 79 | Rabotnicki |
| 2024.05.04 | Rabotnicki | 75 : 69 | Pelister |
| 2024.04.28 | Rabotnicki | 63 : 86 | Pelister |
| 2023.12.28 | Rabotnicki | 98 : 84 | Pelister |
| 2023.10.08 | Pelister | 89 : 92 | Rabotnicki |
| 2023.02.02 | Rabotnicki | 79 : 88 | Pelister |
| 2022.10.15 | Pelister | 92 : 76 | Rabotnicki |
| 2022.03.18 | Rabotnicki | 95 : 89 | Pelister |