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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 4
FMP AkademijaHOME · -
75 : 612024.04.21 · 종료
OhridAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +50.3%
VALUE EDGE+50.3%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEB
FMP AkademijaAnalysis MetricsOhrid
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-18.83 Point MarginHigher is better -14.75
166.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.08
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.6 / 15
Prediction separation0.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
49.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
50.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Akademija
L · 85-90W · 88-93L · 67-105L · 98-89L · 82-102
Ohrid
L · 72-80L · 91-59L · 88-93L · 98-74W · 90-100

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.21FMP Akademija75 : 61Ohrid
2024.04.06Ohrid88 : 93FMP Akademija
2023.12.25FMP Akademija96 : 88Ohrid
2023.10.08Ohrid82 : 66FMP Akademija