Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Macedonia · 4

VardarHOME · -

82 : 702024.04.21 · 종료

KozuvAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY70.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK AWAY 72.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +70.2%

VALUE EDGE+70.2%

FAIR ODDS1.42

GRADEA

VardarAnalysis MetricsKozuv

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-9.33 Point MarginHigher is better +0.50

157.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.00

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

29.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

70.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Vardar

W · 72-80L · 74-63L · 67-70L · 86-78L · 74-86

Kozuv

W · 85-90W · 91-59W · 74-63L · 80-87L · 104-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.21	Vardar	82 : 70	Kozuv
2024.04.07	Kozuv	74 : 63	Vardar
2024.03.03	Vardar	78 : 92	Kozuv
2023.11.12	Kozuv	78 : 57	Vardar
2021.03.01	Vardar	95 : 86	Kozuv
2019.03.31	Vardar	70 : 91	Kozuv
2018.12.23	Kozuv	91 : 82	Vardar