Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · Prva Liga - Quarter-finals
TikveshHOME · -
69 : 792024.04.15 · 종료
PelisterAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.5%
VALUE EDGE+51.5%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
TikveshAnalysis MetricsPelister
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-3.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.17
153.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.9 / 15
Prediction separation1.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tikvesh
L · 90-85L · 94-60W · 67-70L · 73-56W · 84-68
Pelister
W · 90-85W · 94-60W · 80-87W · 98-89W · 74-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.15 | Tikvesh | 69 : 79 | Pelister |
| 2024.04.11 | Pelister | 90 : 85 | Tikvesh |
| 2024.04.07 | Pelister | 94 : 60 | Tikvesh |
| 2023.10.22 | Tikvesh | 60 : 66 | Pelister |
| 2023.03.20 | Pelister | 92 : 74 | Tikvesh |
| 2023.02.17 | Pelister | 79 : 70 | Tikvesh |
| 2022.12.02 | Tikvesh | 64 : 73 | Pelister |
| 2022.06.01 | Pelister | 91 : 83 | Tikvesh |
| 2022.05.30 | Tikvesh | 90 : 89 | Pelister |
| 2022.05.28 | Pelister | 94 : 83 | Tikvesh |