Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · Prva Liga - Quarter-finals
MZT SkopjeHOME · -
89 : 672024.04.14 · 종료
GostivarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.3%
VALUE EDGE+81.3%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
MZT SkopjeAnalysis MetricsGostivar
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-2.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.00
152.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MZT Skopje
W · 87-68W · 67-105W · 86-78W · 84-89W · 78-56
Gostivar
L · 87-68L · 104-84W · 104-73W · 82-102W · 101-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.21 | Gostivar | 70 : 96 | MZT Skopje |
| 2024.04.14 | MZT Skopje | 89 : 67 | Gostivar |
| 2024.04.06 | MZT Skopje | 87 : 68 | Gostivar |
| 2023.12.27 | Gostivar | 69 : 78 | MZT Skopje |
| 2023.10.05 | MZT Skopje | 85 : 59 | Gostivar |
| 2023.01.26 | Gostivar | 88 : 69 | MZT Skopje |
| 2022.10.19 | MZT Skopje | 79 : 80 | Gostivar |
| 2022.05.19 | Gostivar | 72 : 85 | MZT Skopje |
| 2022.05.02 | MZT Skopje | 77 : 55 | Gostivar |
| 2022.03.17 | Gostivar | 68 : 77 | MZT Skopje |