Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · Prva Liga - Quarter-finals
PelisterHOME · -
94 : 602024.04.07 · 종료
TikveshAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.1%
VALUE EDGE+65.1%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
PelisterAnalysis MetricsTikvesh
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-5.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.83
151.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.17
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pelister
W · 80-87W · 98-89W · 74-86W · 85-55L · 77-66
Tikvesh
W · 67-70L · 73-56W · 84-68L · 77-71L · 91-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.15 | Tikvesh | 69 : 79 | Pelister |
| 2024.04.11 | Pelister | 90 : 85 | Tikvesh |
| 2024.04.07 | Pelister | 94 : 60 | Tikvesh |
| 2023.10.22 | Tikvesh | 60 : 66 | Pelister |
| 2023.03.20 | Pelister | 92 : 74 | Tikvesh |
| 2023.02.17 | Pelister | 79 : 70 | Tikvesh |
| 2022.12.02 | Tikvesh | 64 : 73 | Pelister |
| 2022.06.01 | Pelister | 91 : 83 | Tikvesh |
| 2022.05.30 | Tikvesh | 90 : 89 | Pelister |
| 2022.05.28 | Pelister | 94 : 83 | Tikvesh |