Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Macedonia · 1

KozuvHOME · -

74 : 632024.04.07 · 종료

VardarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY19.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 83.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +81.0%

VALUE EDGE+81.0%

FAIR ODDS1.24

GRADEA

KozuvAnalysis MetricsVardar

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+0.50 Point MarginHigher is better -7.42

161.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.25

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

81.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

19.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kozuv

L · 80-87L · 104-73L · 92-73W · 88-60W · 78-92

Vardar

L · 67-70L · 86-78L · 74-86L · 101-75L · 78-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.21	Vardar	82 : 70	Kozuv
2024.04.07	Kozuv	74 : 63	Vardar
2024.03.03	Vardar	78 : 92	Kozuv
2023.11.12	Kozuv	78 : 57	Vardar
2021.03.01	Vardar	95 : 86	Kozuv
2019.03.31	Vardar	70 : 91	Kozuv
2018.12.23	Kozuv	91 : 82	Vardar