Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 22
VardarHOME · -
67 : 702024.04.01 · 종료
TikveshAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY87.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+87.1%
VALUE EDGE+87.1%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEB
VardarAnalysis MetricsTikvesh
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-8.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.92
158.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.58
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar
L · 86-78L · 74-86L · 101-75L · 78-92L · 80-74
Tikvesh
L · 73-56W · 84-68L · 77-71L · 91-92W · 97-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.01 | Vardar | 67 : 70 | Tikvesh |
| 2023.12.11 | Tikvesh | 116 : 66 | Vardar |
| 2021.03.28 | Tikvesh | 96 : 79 | Vardar |
| 2020.12.27 | Vardar | 68 : 94 | Tikvesh |