Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Macedonia · 21

MZT SkopjeHOME · -

86 : 782024.03.28 · 종료

VardarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY12.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%

VALUE EDGE+88.0%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADEB

MZT SkopjeAnalysis MetricsVardar

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-2.17 Point MarginHigher is better -7.67

152.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.00

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

10.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

88.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

MZT Skopje

W · 84-89W · 78-56L · 73-69W · 81-68L · 91-95

Vardar

L · 74-86L · 101-75L · 78-92L · 80-74L · 101-58

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.28	MZT Skopje	86 : 78	Vardar
2023.12.03	Vardar	61 : 96	MZT Skopje
2021.04.17	MZT Skopje	82 : 66	Vardar
2021.01.13	Vardar	67 : 100	MZT Skopje
2019.02.03	MZT Skopje	102 : 67	Vardar
2018.10.21	Vardar	72 : 102	MZT Skopje