Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 20
VardarHOME · -
74 : 862024.03.14 · 종료
PelisterAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME17.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY82.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+82.2%
VALUE EDGE+82.2%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEA
VardarAnalysis MetricsPelister
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-7.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.17
156.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.67
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar
L · 101-75L · 78-92L · 80-74L · 101-58L · 60-102
Pelister
W · 85-55L · 77-66W · 71-67W · 77-85W · 66-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.14 | Vardar | 74 : 86 | Pelister |
| 2023.11.27 | Pelister | 116 : 74 | Vardar |
| 2021.01.31 | Vardar | 80 : 105 | Pelister |
| 2020.12.11 | Pelister | 122 : 72 | Vardar |
| 2019.05.08 | Vardar | 86 : 83 | Pelister |
| 2019.04.06 | Pelister | 81 : 74 | Vardar |
| 2019.03.16 | Pelister | 98 : 80 | Vardar |
| 2018.11.19 | Vardar | 65 : 63 | Pelister |