Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 16
RabotnickiHOME · -
101 : 582024.02.04 · 종료
VardarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME85.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 89.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+85.5%
VALUE EDGE+85.5%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEA
RabotnickiAnalysis MetricsVardar
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-5.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.75
162.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.42
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rabotnicki
W · 91-95W · 84-70W · 98-84W · 57-72W · 65-86
Vardar
L · 60-102L · 92-82L · 89-104L · 89-81L · 116-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.04 | Rabotnicki | 101 : 58 | Vardar |
| 2023.10.29 | Vardar | 68 : 119 | Rabotnicki |
| 2021.04.22 | Rabotnicki | 92 : 72 | Vardar |
| 2021.04.02 | Vardar | 67 : 92 | Rabotnicki |
| 2019.03.28 | Rabotnicki | 84 : 61 | Vardar |
| 2018.12.17 | Vardar | 89 : 107 | Rabotnicki |