Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Macedonia · 15

GostivarHOME · -

108 : 862024.01.28 · 종료

OhridAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY27.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100

AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +72.4%

VALUE EDGE+72.4%

FAIR ODDS1.38

GRADES

GostivarAnalysis MetricsOhrid

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better -14.08

164.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.25

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

72.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

27.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Gostivar

L · 97-85L · 69-78L · 89-88L · 65-86L · 102-67

Ohrid

W · 74-72L · 96-88W · 89-81L · 64-74L · 93-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.01.28	Gostivar	108 : 86	Ohrid
2023.10.23	Ohrid	64 : 87	Gostivar
2019.03.28	Ohrid	55 : 92	Gostivar
2018.12.16	Gostivar	89 : 94	Ohrid
2018.05.03	Ohrid	78 : 85	Gostivar
2018.04.15	Gostivar	83 : 66	Ohrid
2018.03.18	Gostivar	83 : 71	Ohrid
2017.12.03	Ohrid	77 : 81	Gostivar