Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Macedonia · 14

TFT SkopjeHOME · -

92 : 822024.01.20 · 종료

VardarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY15.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +84.2%

VALUE EDGE+84.2%

FAIR ODDS1.19

GRADEB

TFT SkopjeAnalysis MetricsVardar

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-9.50 Point MarginHigher is better -4.83

164.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.17

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

84.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

15.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

TFT Skopje

L · 81-63L · 57-72W · 75-79W · 93-75L · 66-65

Vardar

L · 89-104L · 89-81L · 116-66L · 61-96L · 116-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.01.20	TFT Skopje	92 : 82	Vardar
2023.10.15	Vardar	64 : 88	TFT Skopje
2021.03.14	TFT Skopje	94 : 71	Vardar
2020.12.06	Vardar	99 : 100	TFT Skopje