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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 13
FMP AkademijaHOME · -
96 : 882023.12.25 · 종료
OhridAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
FMP AkademijaAnalysis MetricsOhrid
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-15.33 Point MarginHigher is better -14.08
165.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.25
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation3.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Akademija
L · 94-77L · 79-72L · 85-112W · 90-92W · 93-83
Ohrid
W · 89-81L · 64-74L · 93-75L · 70-92L · 86-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.21FMP Akademija75 : 61Ohrid
2024.04.06Ohrid88 : 93FMP Akademija
2023.12.25FMP Akademija96 : 88Ohrid
2023.10.08Ohrid82 : 66FMP Akademija