Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Macedonia · 12

OhridHOME · -

89 : 812023.12.17 · 종료

VardarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY36.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +63.4%

VALUE EDGE+63.4%

FAIR ODDS1.58

GRADEA

OhridAnalysis MetricsVardar

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-14.08 Point MarginHigher is better -4.83

162.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.17

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.4 / 15

Prediction separation11.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

63.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

36.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ohrid

L · 64-74L · 93-75L · 70-92L · 86-56L · 100-59

Vardar

L · 116-66L · 61-96L · 116-74L · 75-90L · 78-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.27	Vardar	94 : 62	Ohrid
2024.04.18	Ohrid	72 : 80	Vardar
2023.12.17	Ohrid	89 : 81	Vardar
2023.10.01	Vardar	90 : 83	Ohrid
2019.05.02	Ohrid	70 : 73	Vardar
2019.03.24	Vardar	76 : 68	Ohrid
2018.12.09	Ohrid	83 : 80	Vardar