Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Macedonia · 11

TikveshHOME · -

116 : 662023.12.11 · 종료

VardarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY16.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +83.2%

VALUE EDGE+83.2%

FAIR ODDS1.20

GRADEB

TikveshAnalysis MetricsVardar

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-6.00 Point MarginHigher is better -4.83

153.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.17

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

83.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

16.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Tikvesh

W · 92-96W · 66-65L · 87-82W · 100-59W · 70-74

Vardar

L · 61-96L · 116-74L · 75-90L · 78-57W · 102-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.01	Vardar	67 : 70	Tikvesh
2023.12.11	Tikvesh	116 : 66	Vardar
2021.03.28	Tikvesh	96 : 79	Vardar
2020.12.27	Vardar	68 : 94	Tikvesh