Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 10
VardarHOME · -
61 : 962023.12.03 · 종료
MZT SkopjeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME14.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY85.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+85.5%
VALUE EDGE+85.5%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEB
VardarAnalysis MetricsMZT Skopje
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.17
156.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar
L · 116-74L · 75-90L · 78-57W · 102-91L · 68-119
MZT Skopje
W · 91-58W · 63-68W · 73-64W · 73-98W · 71-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.28 | MZT Skopje | 86 : 78 | Vardar |
| 2023.12.03 | Vardar | 61 : 96 | MZT Skopje |
| 2021.04.17 | MZT Skopje | 82 : 66 | Vardar |
| 2021.01.13 | Vardar | 67 : 100 | MZT Skopje |
| 2019.02.03 | MZT Skopje | 102 : 67 | Vardar |
| 2018.10.21 | Vardar | 72 : 102 | MZT Skopje |