Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 9
GostivarHOME · -
90 : 922023.11.26 · 종료
FMP AkademijaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.2%
VALUE EDGE+64.2%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADES
GostivarAnalysis MetricsFMP Akademija
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.33
164.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.33
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation12.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gostivar
W · 75-90W · 89-84L · 79-70L · 63-66W · 64-87
FMP Akademija
W · 93-83L · 68-98L · 102-91L · 74-107L · 73-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.16 | FMP Akademija | 82 : 102 | Gostivar |
| 2023.11.26 | Gostivar | 90 : 92 | FMP Akademija |
| 2023.03.05 | Gostivar | 87 : 79 | FMP Akademija |
| 2022.11.06 | FMP Akademija | 83 : 93 | Gostivar |
| 2022.03.28 | FMP Akademija | 82 : 70 | Gostivar |
| 2021.12.06 | Gostivar | 64 : 70 | FMP Akademija |
| 2021.01.25 | Gostivar | 92 : 81 | FMP Akademija |
| 2020.11.01 | FMP Akademija | 84 : 75 | Gostivar |