Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 8
VardarHOME · -
75 : 902023.11.19 · 종료
GostivarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.6%
VALUE EDGE+66.6%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEB
VardarAnalysis MetricsGostivar
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.58
156.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.58
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation14.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar
L · 78-57W · 102-91L · 68-119L · 100-76L · 64-88
Gostivar
W · 89-84L · 79-70L · 63-66W · 64-87L · 67-106
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.10 | Gostivar | 101 : 75 | Vardar |
| 2023.11.19 | Vardar | 75 : 90 | Gostivar |
| 2021.03.25 | Vardar | 105 : 106 | Gostivar |
| 2020.12.20 | Gostivar | 91 : 53 | Vardar |
| 2019.03.20 | Gostivar | 99 : 66 | Vardar |
| 2018.11.25 | Vardar | 80 : 82 | Gostivar |