Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Macedonia · 7

KozuvHOME · -

78 : 572023.11.12 · 종료

VardarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY30.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 68.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +69.4%

VALUE EDGE+69.4%

FAIR ODDS1.44

GRADEA

KozuvAnalysis MetricsVardar

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+0.50 Point MarginHigher is better -4.83

161.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.17

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

69.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

30.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kozuv

L · 88-84L · 55-64L · 96-80W · 96-69L · 80-73

Vardar

W · 102-91L · 68-119L · 100-76L · 64-88W · 71-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.21	Vardar	82 : 70	Kozuv
2024.04.07	Kozuv	74 : 63	Vardar
2024.03.03	Vardar	78 : 92	Kozuv
2023.11.12	Kozuv	78 : 57	Vardar
2021.03.01	Vardar	95 : 86	Kozuv
2019.03.31	Vardar	70 : 91	Kozuv
2018.12.23	Kozuv	91 : 82	Vardar