Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 6
VardarHOME · -
102 : 912023.11.06 · 종료
FMP AkademijaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME30.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+69.7%
VALUE EDGE+69.7%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
VardarAnalysis MetricsFMP Akademija
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.33
156.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.33
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar
L · 68-119L · 100-76L · 64-88W · 71-80W · 90-83
FMP Akademija
L · 74-107L · 73-64L · 86-108L · 82-66L · 58-114
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.26 | FMP Akademija | 72 : 85 | Vardar |
| 2024.02.11 | FMP Akademija | 80 : 74 | Vardar |
| 2023.11.06 | Vardar | 102 : 91 | FMP Akademija |
| 2021.03.21 | FMP Akademija | 78 : 63 | Vardar |
| 2020.12.17 | Vardar | 79 : 82 | FMP Akademija |