Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 5
VardarHOME · -
68 : 1192023.10.29 · 종료
RabotnickiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME24.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY75.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+75.7%
VALUE EDGE+75.7%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEA
VardarAnalysis MetricsRabotnicki
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.75
156.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.75
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar
L · 100-76L · 64-88W · 71-80W · 90-83L · 0-20
Rabotnicki
L · 59-73L · 83-82W · 89-92L · 65-62L · 83-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.04 | Rabotnicki | 101 : 58 | Vardar |
| 2023.10.29 | Vardar | 68 : 119 | Rabotnicki |
| 2021.04.22 | Rabotnicki | 92 : 72 | Vardar |
| 2021.04.02 | Vardar | 67 : 92 | Rabotnicki |
| 2019.03.28 | Rabotnicki | 84 : 61 | Vardar |
| 2018.12.17 | Vardar | 89 : 107 | Rabotnicki |