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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 4
Cair 2030HOME · -
100 : 762023.10.22 · 종료
VardarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 72.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +73.2%
VALUE EDGE+73.2%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEB
Cair 2030Analysis MetricsVardar
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+1.50 Point MarginHigher is better -4.83
157.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.17
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
73.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cair 2030
W · 83-82L · 77-66W · 93-72W · 82-95L · 101-110
Vardar
L · 64-88W · 71-80W · 90-83L · 0-20L · 85-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.28Vardar60 : 102Cair 2030
2023.10.22Cair 2030100 : 76Vardar