Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 3
VardarHOME · -
64 : 882023.10.15 · 종료
TFT SkopjeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.4%
VALUE EDGE+52.4%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
VardarAnalysis MetricsTFT Skopje
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.50
156.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.67
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation2.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar
W · 71-80W · 90-83L · 0-20L · 85-78L · 112-78
TFT Skopje
W · 77-66L · 73-56L · 82-84L · 100-80W · 73-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.20 | TFT Skopje | 92 : 82 | Vardar |
| 2023.10.15 | Vardar | 64 : 88 | TFT Skopje |
| 2021.03.14 | TFT Skopje | 94 : 71 | Vardar |
| 2020.12.06 | Vardar | 99 : 100 | TFT Skopje |