Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 1
VardarHOME · -
90 : 832023.10.01 · 종료
OhridAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.3%
VALUE EDGE+53.3%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
VardarAnalysis MetricsOhrid
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.08
156.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.25
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation2.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vardar
L · 0-20L · 85-78L · 112-78L · 92-72L · 82-66
Ohrid
L · 87-73W · 102-77L · 55-79L · 70-73L · 62-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.27 | Vardar | 94 : 62 | Ohrid |
| 2024.04.18 | Ohrid | 72 : 80 | Vardar |
| 2023.12.17 | Ohrid | 89 : 81 | Vardar |
| 2023.10.01 | Vardar | 90 : 83 | Ohrid |
| 2019.05.02 | Ohrid | 70 : 73 | Vardar |
| 2019.03.24 | Vardar | 76 : 68 | Ohrid |
| 2018.12.09 | Ohrid | 83 : 80 | Vardar |