Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 5

FMP AkademijaHOME · -
91 : 872023.05.23 · 종료
StrumicaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.5%
VALUE EDGE+68.5%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
FMP AkademijaAnalysis MetricsStrumica
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-15.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.92
165.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.42
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Akademija
W · 81-115W · 93-99W · 92-102W · 78-68L · 76-87
Strumica
L · 0-20W · 91-92L · 92-102L · 95-88L · 86-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.23 | FMP Akademija | 91 : 87 | Strumica |
| 2023.05.07 | Strumica | 92 : 102 | FMP Akademija |
| 2023.03.26 | Strumica | 94 : 99 | FMP Akademija |
| 2022.12.05 | FMP Akademija | 89 : 80 | Strumica |