Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · Prva Liga - Semi-finals
TFT SkopjeHOME · -
82 : 842023.05.19 · 종료
PelisterAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.5%
VALUE EDGE+53.5%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
TFT SkopjeAnalysis MetricsPelister
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.17
164.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation3.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
TFT Skopje
L · 100-80W · 73-59W · 72-76L · 62-70W · 107-70
Pelister
W · 100-80W · 81-56L · 83-81W · 90-86L · 95-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.05 | Pelister | 78 : 70 | TFT Skopje |
| 2024.03.02 | TFT Skopje | 77 : 66 | Pelister |
| 2023.11.12 | Pelister | 87 : 70 | TFT Skopje |
| 2023.05.19 | TFT Skopje | 82 : 84 | Pelister |
| 2023.05.15 | Pelister | 100 : 80 | TFT Skopje |
| 2023.04.09 | Pelister | 92 : 69 | TFT Skopje |
| 2022.12.16 | TFT Skopje | 95 : 90 | Pelister |
| 2022.10.18 | TFT Skopje | 65 : 75 | Pelister |
| 2022.05.13 | TFT Skopje | 89 : 78 | Pelister |
| 2022.04.24 | Pelister | 83 : 64 | TFT Skopje |