Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 3
KumanovoHOME · -
91 : 922023.05.15 · 종료
StrumicaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.1%
VALUE EDGE+62.1%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
KumanovoAnalysis MetricsStrumica
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-17.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.33
171.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.00
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.1 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kumanovo
L · 72-81L · 78-68L · 107-70W · 89-82L · 88-72
Strumica
L · 92-102L · 95-88L · 86-91L · 89-82L · 92-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.25 | Strumica | 124 : 108 | Kumanovo |
| 2023.05.15 | Kumanovo | 91 : 92 | Strumica |
| 2023.04.10 | Kumanovo | 89 : 82 | Strumica |
| 2022.12.18 | Strumica | 90 : 85 | Kumanovo |
| 2018.02.03 | Kumanovo | 93 : 76 | Strumica |
| 2017.10.30 | Strumica | 66 : 90 | Kumanovo |