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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · Prva Liga - Quarter-finals
RabotnickiHOME · -
80 : 532023.05.05 · 종료
GostivarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.3%
VALUE EDGE+69.3%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADES
RabotnickiAnalysis MetricsGostivar
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-5.75 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58
162.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.58
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rabotnicki
L · 76-69L · 58-86W · 75-80W · 83-67W · 54-82
Gostivar
W · 76-69W · 98-74L · 94-87W · 85-65W · 93-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.31Rabotnicki104 : 84Gostivar
2023.12.10Gostivar65 : 86Rabotnicki
2023.05.08Gostivar63 : 77Rabotnicki
2023.05.05Rabotnicki80 : 53Gostivar
2023.04.30Gostivar76 : 69Rabotnicki
2023.02.12Rabotnicki98 : 63Gostivar
2022.10.30Gostivar87 : 76Rabotnicki
2022.02.16Rabotnicki57 : 91Gostivar
2021.10.24Gostivar91 : 65Rabotnicki
2021.04.17Rabotnicki79 : 83Gostivar