Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · Prva Liga - Quarter-finals
KozuvHOME · -
81 : 952023.05.04 · 종료
MZT SkopjeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.4%
VALUE EDGE+67.4%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
KozuvAnalysis MetricsMZT Skopje
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+0.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.33
161.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.67
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kozuv
L · 83-69W · 58-86W · 94-87L · 87-67L · 88-100
MZT Skopje
W · 83-69W · 95-93W · 87-74W · 64-82W · 74-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.11 | Kozuv | 73 : 81 | MZT Skopje |
| 2026.02.15 | MZT Skopje | 76 : 58 | Kozuv |
| 2025.02.16 | Kozuv | 61 : 86 | MZT Skopje |
| 2023.12.14 | MZT Skopje | 79 : 65 | Kozuv |
| 2023.10.01 | Kozuv | 64 : 86 | MZT Skopje |
| 2023.05.04 | Kozuv | 81 : 95 | MZT Skopje |
| 2023.05.01 | MZT Skopje | 83 : 69 | Kozuv |
| 2023.04.04 | MZT Skopje | 87 : 67 | Kozuv |
| 2023.02.16 | MZT Skopje | 80 : 68 | Kozuv |
| 2022.12.13 | Kozuv | 78 : 88 | MZT Skopje |