Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 1
FMP AkademijaHOME · -
78 : 682023.04.30 · 종료
KumanovoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.5%
VALUE EDGE+67.5%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
FMP AkademijaAnalysis MetricsKumanovo
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-15.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-16.75
165.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.92
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Akademija
L · 76-87L · 72-60W · 88-72W · 94-99L · 86-75
Kumanovo
L · 107-70W · 89-82L · 88-72L · 54-82L · 86-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.18 | Kumanovo | 81 : 115 | FMP Akademija |
| 2023.04.30 | FMP Akademija | 78 : 68 | Kumanovo |
| 2023.04.05 | FMP Akademija | 88 : 72 | Kumanovo |
| 2022.12.11 | Kumanovo | 83 : 102 | FMP Akademija |
| 2022.05.18 | FMP Akademija | 75 : 109 | Kumanovo |
| 2022.04.28 | Kumanovo | 88 : 84 | FMP Akademija |
| 2022.02.13 | FMP Akademija | 84 : 68 | Kumanovo |
| 2021.11.02 | Kumanovo | 74 : 77 | FMP Akademija |
| 2021.02.08 | Kumanovo | 72 : 66 | FMP Akademija |
| 2020.11.08 | FMP Akademija | 91 : 89 | Kumanovo |