Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 22
FMP AkademijaHOME · -
76 : 872023.04.23 · 종료
TikveshAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.7%
VALUE EDGE+63.7%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
FMP AkademijaAnalysis MetricsTikvesh
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-15.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.00
165.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.33
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
12.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation11.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Akademija
L · 72-60W · 88-72W · 94-99L · 86-75L · 77-90
Tikvesh
L · 75-80L · 85-65L · 61-81L · 92-74W · 78-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.12.18 | Tikvesh | 94 : 77 | FMP Akademija |
| 2023.10.05 | FMP Akademija | 58 : 114 | Tikvesh |
| 2023.04.23 | FMP Akademija | 76 : 87 | Tikvesh |
| 2022.12.25 | Tikvesh | 92 : 63 | FMP Akademija |
| 2022.02.09 | Tikvesh | 86 : 74 | FMP Akademija |
| 2021.10.24 | FMP Akademija | 80 : 65 | Tikvesh |
| 2020.11.05 | Tikvesh | 96 : 82 | FMP Akademija |