Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Macedonia · 21

KumanovoHOME · -

89 : 822023.04.10 · 종료

StrumicaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY37.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +62.8%

VALUE EDGE+62.8%

FAIR ODDS1.59

GRADEA

KumanovoAnalysis MetricsStrumica

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-18.17 Point MarginHigher is better -2.83

172.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.50

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.7 / 15

Prediction separation11.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

62.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

37.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kumanovo

L · 88-72L · 54-82L · 86-64L · 68-88L · 104-70

Strumica

L · 92-82L · 94-99L · 99-66L · 72-79L · 63-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.25	Strumica	124 : 108	Kumanovo
2023.05.15	Kumanovo	91 : 92	Strumica
2023.04.10	Kumanovo	89 : 82	Strumica
2022.12.18	Strumica	90 : 85	Kumanovo
2018.02.03	Kumanovo	93 : 76	Strumica
2017.10.30	Strumica	66 : 90	Kumanovo