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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 19
StrumicaHOME · -
94 : 992023.03.26 · 종료
FMP AkademijaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
StrumicaAnalysis MetricsFMP Akademija
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-2.83 Point MarginHigher is better -15.33
162.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.33
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
39.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
60.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Strumica
L · 99-66L · 72-79L · 63-88L · 77-101L · 85-71
FMP Akademija
L · 86-75L · 77-90L · 87-79L · 86-102L · 81-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.23FMP Akademija91 : 87Strumica
2023.05.07Strumica92 : 102FMP Akademija
2023.03.26Strumica94 : 99FMP Akademija
2022.12.05FMP Akademija89 : 80Strumica