Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 19
StrumicaHOME · -
94 : 992023.03.26 · 종료
FMP AkademijaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
StrumicaAnalysis MetricsFMP Akademija
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-2.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.33
162.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.33
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Strumica
L · 99-66L · 72-79L · 63-88L · 77-101L · 85-71
FMP Akademija
L · 86-75L · 77-90L · 87-79L · 86-102L · 81-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.23 | FMP Akademija | 91 : 87 | Strumica |
| 2023.05.07 | Strumica | 92 : 102 | FMP Akademija |
| 2023.03.26 | Strumica | 94 : 99 | FMP Akademija |
| 2022.12.05 | FMP Akademija | 89 : 80 | Strumica |